Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.012712 0.015567 0.019213 0.024338 0.031582 0.041835 0.058226
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.008926 0.011865 0.016111 0.023063 0.035005 0.056724 0.105954
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007247 0.010145 0.014687 0.022959 0.039454 0.076684 0.197764
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006318 0.009217 0.014068 0.023747 0.045891 0.108282 0.428585
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005559 0.008360 0.013286 0.023848 0.050959 0.144901 0.979766
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004845 0.007434 0.012139 0.022740 0.052319 0.173124 2.085282
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004350 0.006801 0.011399 0.022273 0.055306 0.217288 6.646587
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004104 0.006572 0.011393 0.023546 0.065091 0.335977 401.801610
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003957 0.006498 0.011682 0.025708 0.080829 0.616198 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003819 0.006416 0.011933 0.027909 0.100386 1.276099 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003573 0.006084 0.011550 0.028055 0.110319 2.145040 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003354 0.005782 0.011182 0.028129 0.120612 3.916198 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003011 0.005216 0.010161 0.025932 0.115349 4.853029 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002741 0.004781 0.009412 0.024511 0.114967 7.481274 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002564 0.004522 0.009057 0.024397 0.125446 22.856819 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002448 0.004378 0.008965 0.025255 0.147777 744.906633 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002316 0.004184 0.008708 0.025364 0.164446 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002153 0.003906 0.008182 0.024159 0.163566 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002030 0.003705 0.007841 0.023651 0.171694 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001976 0.003657 0.007912 0.025036 0.214695 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001949 0.003666 0.008151 0.027394 0.296090 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001919 0.003665 0.008360 0.029802 0.415477 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001841 0.003540 0.008173 0.029961 0.476993 NaN NaN